Optimized consumption forecasts help to cut costs
Richmond/ Kassel. The liberalization of the British energy market has made more progress than anywhere else in Europe. Many measures introduced there are implemented in other countries subsequently. “One feature of the British market is that transport costs for natural gas are an important factor alongside procurement costs,” explains Andreas Pingel, Managing Director of WINGAS UK. For Pingel there is still considerable room to improve here: “Even one-off capacity overruns are penalized with substantial surcharges”.
The network operator calculates the transport costs alone on the basis of the previous year’s gas consumption. It takes into account the anticipated delivery volume and the anticipated daily maximum, i.e. the exit capacity. If the pipeline capacity forecast in this way is exceeded, as well as incurring a surcharge, this leads to an increase in the exit capacity, and thus an increase in the transport costs for the rest of the year too. “But booking too much capacity can be expensive too, because in this case significantly more pipeline capacity is booked than is actually needed,” Pingel said.
However, these added costs could easily be avoided by calculating the natural gas consumption carefully. This could be done, for example, by the energy supplier. The energy supplier can create an individual, optimized consumption forecast by precisely analyzing the consumption in previous years. Optimized consumption forecasts ensure the pipeline capacity ordered is not exceeded or underused, thus avoiding extra costs.